Pole Position: US Forced To Consider Alternate Interceptor Sites
In a shot across the bow of a particularly hard-bargaining Poland, the US is considering a missile defense interceptor base in neighboring Lithuania:
Poland is balking at further negotiations with the United States over plans to deploy an antiballistic missile shield, prompting Washington to seek out Lithuania, formerly part of the Soviet Union, as a possible alternative location, officials said Wednesday.
Attempting to run out the clock on a departing Bush administration, Poland has been intransigent on closing the interceptor deal since a new government came to power last fall. Realizing they are in the catbird seat, the Poles --- already the largest NATO recipient of US aid --- are holding out for more US goodies:
In March, Poland’s center-right government, led by Donald Tusk, presented the United States with a short but costly list of conditions for placing up to 10 interceptors on its territory. It demanded that the United States provide a mobile air defense system that NATO diplomats have said could cost billions of dollars.
Naturally, as the price goes up, alternatives become attractive:
"I think they [Poland] want an agreement, but it's a question of what price," said [Pentagon Press Secretary] Geoff Morrell. "And that's what a negotiation is all about, and that's what we're in the midst of right now."
"We are hopeful that we can soon reach a deal with the Poles, but we have always said that there are other options available to us," he said. "There are several other European nations that could host the interceptors, and Lithuania is one of them. That said, we have not entered into negotiations with any other country, and hope that that does not become necessary."
Why Lithuania? Like Poland, it is a NATO ally. And while it, too, is on the "frontline" of European missile defense against medium range Iranian ballistic missiles, it is also in the defensive corridor that provides early continental US (CONUS) defense against longer range Shahab ICBMs. Lithuania is the red triangle I added to this previously posted diagram:
So why not Lithuania? You thought the Russians were pissed before:
Not only is Lithuania geographically closer to Moscow, but unlike Poland and the Czech Republic, it was once part of the Soviet Union. To Russians, it "will be perceived as even more provocative than Poland or the Czech Republic," Lukyanov said.
Washington wants to set up two missile defense bases in Eastern Europe — a site with 10 interceptors in Poland and a linked radar installation in the Czech Republic. His administration says the system is meant to protect the U.S. and Europe from possible Iranian attacks.
Russia, however, is furious at the idea of U.S. military installations so close to its borders, in a region it controlled during the Cold War. It sees them as initial steps in a longer-term plan that would undermine its own security.
Already, Moscow has threatened to target prospective missile defense sites with nuclear missiles.
No biggie. This back and forth between the US and Poland is all just the part of the grandest negotiating game in the world. "I'm gonna write a number on this slip of paper." {slides it gently across the table} "Pffft. I want free floormats or I'm walking."
I would normally say the Poles will ultimately come around, before or after our election. But it's likely none of this really matters. You guessed it, my standard coda --- "unproven missile defense systems" will never be part of our national defense:
UPDATE: Welcome, Jawas (thanks, Rusty) and AOSHQ (thanks, Dave) --- you didn't even click over here before spouting off, did you, icus? Dude, the whole "this boondoggle doesn't work" gripe has been thoroughly trashed over the past year --- 9 successful intercepts in 2007 alone, plus that little impromptu satellite shootdown in February. You and every critic look woefully uninformed and foolish every time you trot out that lame circa 1986 argument.




























